Socioeconomic Data Mining and Student Dropout: Analyzing a Higher Education Course in Brazil

Walber Antonio Ramos Beltrame; Oldair Luiz Gonçalves

doi:10.31686/ijier.vol8.iss8.2554

Authors

Walber Antonio Ramos Beltrame Federal Institute of Espírito Santo (IFES) https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2197-523X
Oldair Luiz Gonçalves Federal Institute of Espírito Santo (IFES) https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9779-6126

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31686/ijier.vol8.iss8.2554

Keywords:

Academic System, Data Mining, Student Dropout

Abstract

This paper aims to analyze the student dropout from a higher education course, in the city of Guarapari, Espírito Santo, Brazil, through the use of the computational tool known as data mining. The objective was to investigate the possible scenarios for the early identification of students with higher risk of dropping out by analyzing socioeconomic data from business school graduates between 2014 and 2018 with the use of information extracted from the academic system. The methodology used was the experimental research, from a quantitative approach through a comparative analysis of data resulting from the processing of computational algorithms. After the analysis, it was concluded that computational techniques can be used to help administrators to plan pedagogical and administrative actions and that the combination of socioeconomic data with school performance information, using the tool, can yield advantageous results, allowing the fight against evasion to be seen as an early and continuous practice.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

A. Nora, E. Barlow, G. Crisp, "Student persistence and degree attainment beyond the first year in college", College student retention: Formula for success, 2005, pp. 129-153.

A.F. Cabrera, A. Nora, M.B. Castañeda, “The role of finances in the persistence process: a structural model”, Research in Higher Education, v. 33, n. 5, 1992. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00973759

A.W. Astin, “College student retention: Formula for student success", Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, 2012.

A.W. Astin, “Student Involvement: A developmental theory for higher education”, Journal of College Student Personnel, 1984.

B. Kipnis, "A pesquisa institucional e a educação superior brasileira: um estudo de caso longitudinal da evasão”, Linhas Críticas, v. 6, n. 11, 2000, pp. 109-130. DOI: https://doi.org/10.26512/lc.v6i11.2870

BRAZIL, “Diplomação, retenção e evasão nos cursos de graduação em instituições de ensino superior públicas”, MEC, 1996.

C.A. Biazus, “Sistema de fatores que influenciam o aluno a evadir-se dos cursos de graduação na UFSM e na UFSC: um estudo no curso de Ciências Contábeis”, Doctoral Thesis in Product Engineering, Federal University of Santa Catarina, 2004.

C.A.S. Baggi, D.A. Lopes, “A evasão e avaliação institucional no ensino superior: Uma discussão bibliográfica.”, Avaliação: Revista da Avaliação da Educação Superior, v. 16, n. 2, 2011, pp. 355-374. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/S1414-40772011000200007

E.T. Pascarella, “Student-faculty informal contact and college outcomes”, Review of Educational Research, v. 50, n.4, 1980. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3102/00346543050004545

F. MacKinnon‐Slaney, “The adult persistence in learning model: A road map to counseling services for adult learners”, Journal of Counseling & development, v. 72, n. 3, 1994, pp. 268-275. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1556-6676.1994.tb00933.x

F.P. Schargel, J. Smink, “Estratégias para auxiliar o problema de evasão escolar”, Dunya, v. 282, 2002.

J. Han, J. Pei, M. Kamber, “Data mining: concepts and techniques", Elsevier, 2011.

J.M. Braxton, A.S. Hirstchi, S.A. McClendon, “Understanding and Reducing College Student Departure”, Ashe-ERIC Higher Education Report, v. 30, n. 3, 2004.

J.P. Bean, “Dropout and turnover: The synthesis and test of a causal model of student attition”, Research in Higher Education, v. 12, 1980. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00976194

J.P. Bean, B.S. Metzner, “A conceptual model of nontraditional undergraduate student attition", Review of Educational Research, v. 55, 1985. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3102/00346543055004485

L.M.B. Manhães, S.M.S. Cruz, R.J.M. Costa, J. Zavaleta, G. Zimbrão, “Identificação dos fatores que influenciam a evasão em cursos de graduação através de sistemas baseados em mineração de dados: Uma abordagem quantitativa”, Brazilian Symposium on Information Systems, 2012. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5753/sbsi.2012.14413

L.M.B. Manhães, S.M.S. Cruz, R.J.M. Costa, J. Zavaleta, G. Zimbrão, “Previsão de estudantes com risco de evasão utilizando técnicas de mineração de dados”, Brazilian Symposium on Computers in Education, 2012.

N.P. Gaioso, “O fenômeno da evasão escolar na educação superior no Brasil”, Masters in Education Dissertation, Catholic University of Brasília, 2005.

O.V. Nascimento, “Cem anos do ensino profissional no Brasil”, Ipbex, 2007.

R. Baker, K. Yacef, “The State of Educational Data Mining in 2009: A Review and Future Visions”, Journal of Educational Data Mining, v. 1, n. 1, 2009, pp. 3-17.

R. Baker, S. Isotani, A. Carvalho, “Mineração de Dados Educacionais: Oportunidades para o Brasil”, Brazilian Journal of Informatics in Education, v. 19, n. 2, 2009. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5753/RBIE.2011.19.02.03

R.L.L. Silva Filho, P.R. Motejanas, O. Hipólito, M.B. Lobo, “A evasão no Ensino Superior Brasileiro. Instituto Lobo para o Desenvolvimento da Educação, da Ciência e da Tecnologia.” Cadernos de Pesquisa, v. 37, n. 132, 2007. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-15742007000300007

R.S. Freitas, “A ocorrência da evasão do ensino superior - Uma análise das diferentes formas de mensurar”, Masters in Education Dissertation, State University of Campinas, 2016.

V. Tinto, “Classrooms as communities: exploring the educational character of student persistence”, Journal of Higher Education, v. 68, n. 6, 1997. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2959965

V. Tinto, “Dropout from higher education: a theoretical syntehesis of recente research”, Review of Educational Research, v. 45, n. 1, 1975. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3102/00346543045001089

V. Tinto, “Leaving college: Rethinking the causes and cures of students attrition”, University of Chicago, n. 2, 1993. DOI: https://doi.org/10.7208/chicago/9780226922461.001.0001

V. Tinto, “Research and practice of student retention: what next?”, Journal of College Student Retention: Research, Theory and Practice, v. 8, n. 1, 2006. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2190/4YNU-4TMB-22DJ-AN4W

W.G. Spady, “Dropouts from Higher Education: An interdisciplinary review and synthesis”, Interchange, v.1, 1970. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02214313

W.S. Swail, “The art of student retention: A handbook for practitioners and administrators”, Educational Policy Institute, Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board 20th Annual Recruitment and Retention Conference Austin, 2004, pp. 1-39.